Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.000769 0.000878 0.000993 0.001124 0.001268 0.001422 0.001597
2024-12-22 0.000592 0.000741 0.000910 0.001115 0.001355 0.001624 0.001948
2024-12-29 0.000495 0.000661 0.000857 0.001105 0.001405 0.001755 0.002189
2025-01-05 0.000427 0.000603 0.000821 0.001106 0.001463 0.001891 0.002436
2025-01-12 0.000367 0.000548 0.000779 0.001092 0.001495 0.001990 0.002636
2025-01-19 0.000316 0.000497 0.000737 0.001071 0.001514 0.002070 0.002810
2025-01-26 0.000289 0.000475 0.000730 0.001094 0.001587 0.002218 0.003071
2025-02-02 0.000265 0.000454 0.000721 0.001112 0.001653 0.002357 0.003322
2025-02-09 0.000233 0.000418 0.000688 0.001094 0.001667 0.002426 0.003484
2025-02-16 0.000204 0.000384 0.000655 0.001072 0.001673 0.002484 0.003629
2025-02-23 0.000187 0.000368 0.000646 0.001084 0.001727 0.002605 0.003861
2025-03-02 0.000172 0.000351 0.000636 0.001093 0.001774 0.002718 0.004083
2025-03-09 0.000149 0.000320 0.000601 0.001063 0.001765 0.002754 0.004203
2025-03-16 0.000129 0.000291 0.000567 0.001032 0.001754 0.002786 0.004317
2025-03-23 0.000116 0.000274 0.000552 0.001029 0.001783 0.002873 0.004510
2025-03-30 0.000105 0.000260 0.000538 0.001028 0.001813 0.002964 0.004709
2025-04-06 0.000093 0.000242 0.000519 0.001015 0.001825 0.003028 0.004869
2025-04-13 0.000082 0.000224 0.000496 0.000996 0.001825 0.003071 0.005001
2025-04-20 0.000077 0.000219 0.000498 0.001017 0.001890 0.003215 0.005280
2025-04-27 0.000072 0.000214 0.000497 0.001034 0.001948 0.003348 0.005546
2025-05-04 0.000064 0.000199 0.000477 0.001017 0.001949 0.003394 0.005685
2025-05-11 0.000056 0.000184 0.000456 0.000996 0.001944 0.003429 0.005806
2025-05-18 0.000052 0.000178 0.000454 0.001008 0.001992 0.003549 0.006056